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2023 Outlook for the Polish Energy Market: A Report by Aurora and Dentons

A rapid push towards decarbonisation is forcing the Polish power market to fundamentally transform over the coming decade. Regulators and market players will face new challenges as the increasing need for sustainability and supply security in the coming years are becoming increasingly important in shaping market development. To explore the complexities arising this decade and to map out the most important aspects of the transformation and potential challenges and solutions, we have teamed up with Dentons to develop an introductory guide.

In this report, we provide an overview of the key uncertainties facing the Polish power system and outline the possible responses. Moreover, we explore in detail the topic of battery storage, which has been garnering interest as a potential source of energy security.

Key highlights of the report include:

  • Power demand is expected to rise by 24 TWh by 2030 due to the continued electrification of industrial activity, heat and transport.
  • Coal power plants, currently a backbone of the power system, will drop from the current capacity of 27 GW to 5 GW by 2030, driven by unfavourable economics.
  • Renewables capacity is forecast to increase by 38 GW by 2030, some 22 GW of which could be secured through existing subsidy systems. The main increase is expected to come from solar and onshore power plants.
  • Within the capacity market, wholesale market, and newly opening ancillary service markets, battery storage investments become viable alternatives to conventional sources of security of supply.

Interested in collaborating with us? Reach out to Anna Donczew-Salawa to discuss this opportunity.

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