Crucial intelligence to understand the changing dynamics of the Romanian power market

Background

Once an energy exporter, Romania is now dependent on imports. The country’s ageing thermal fleet and the economic pressure that CO2 prices impose on coal plants are expected to lead Romania towards a deep transformation in the next decade as the country’s power system is modernised.

Rising commodities prices, thermal capacity retirements, continued RES cost declines and an increasingly favorable policy landscape are expected to create opportunities for new RES projects as well as flexible capacity.

Challenge

Romania is considering the development of Contracts for Difference (CfD) to support RES in the next few years. However, the potential of market driven projects could well exceed the potential capacity deployment achieved by the support scheme.

Understanding and managing market risks as well as options for route to market strategies for unsubsidised renewables in Romania’s becomes a vital component to investing, financing, and developing projects.

Expertise

Our Romanian Power Market Service enables you to assess the merchant risks inherent in the renewable space, and guide investment and operational decisions. Our subscribers receive a well-rounded package to manage and mitigate risks; understand the potential of renewables; and market intelligence to make decisions around the key policy and market risks.  Bankable forecasts and analysis are underlined by a high level of interactivity with our team.

We are at the forefront of forecasting the economics of subsidy-free renewables, assessing merchant risks and guiding investment decisions.

What’s included?

Bi-annual forecast reports:

  • Wholesale market price forecast along 3 scenarios (Central, High, Low) to 2050
  • Recent market and policy developments
  • Price distributions, peakload prices and capture spark spreads
  • Capture prices for key RES technologies (onshore wind, solar)
  • Capacity development, generation mix, interconnector capacity and flows,
  • All relevant input assumptions (coal prices, gas prices, CO2 price, demand breakdown)
  • Analysis of key sensitivities
  • Data in Excel – all forecast data easily downloadable in Excel format
  • PPA valuation & demand forecast (example of fair price valuation)

Interaction with our market experts:

  • Bilateral workshops with our experts to discuss our research and forecasts, and the impacts on your business
  • Ongoing access to expert analysts to address any questions across European power markets
  • Regular webinars to keep you updated with our latest forecasts, along with key changes in policy and the market
  • Discounted tickets for the unmissable Aurora Spring Forum, attended by senior executives from across Europe

Our subscriptions offer comprehensive market intelligence packages for energy market participants. All subscribers get company-wide access to our EOS platform: the energy market’s hub for critical analytics.

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To enquire about our Romanian Power Market subscription, please register your details and our team will get back to you shortly.