Public Webinar

TUESDAY, MARCH 5, 2024 | 10:00–11:00 BRT, 14:00–15:00 CET

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Brazilian power prices: Long-term forecast and alternative scenarios

The Brazilian National Interconnected System (SIN) has witnessed substantial price fluctuations in the past five years. Short-term prices have oscillated between the maximum regulatory value of R$583/MWh in July–August 2021 to the minimum regulatory value of R$69/MWh in 2022–2023.

As the country undergoes a surge in intermittent renewable capacity, primarily propelled by increases in solar and wind capacity, the inherent fluctuations in hydro reservoirs contribute to escalating uncertainty in prices.

In this context of uncertainty, this webinar aims to offer an outlook for Brazilian power prices under different scenarios. Alongside the Central outlook, we will present alternative scenarios to reflect a range of possible futures. Key questions to be discussed include the following:

  • How will power prices and asset economics be impacted by hydro inflow cycles?
  • How will the expansion of the transmission grid impact pool price evolution and renewable economics?
  • What are the likely price implications if we experience both low commodity prices and demand that falls below expectations?

 

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Subscribers Only

This session is for GB Power Market and GB Renewables subscribers only.

Instructions

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