Skip to main content

Scenario Analysis of the Impact of the Russia-Ukraine War on European Gas Markets: Can Europe Cope without Russian Gas?

As the ongoing Russian-Ukraine war escalates, Aurora has assessed possible scenarios and impacts on the European gas market. The webinar focuses on:

  • Europe’s reliance on Russian gas and coal: Russia meets around 30-40% of gas demand in Europe and is the largest single supplier. Russia is also Europe’s main supplier of coal, supplying over half of the total in 2021
  • Summary and timeline of the Nord Stream 2 suspension and Ukraine conflict, and immediate impact on gas and power prices
  • The impact of the delay to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline, combined with possible disruption to Ukraine gas transit.
  • Assessment of a more extreme ‘no Russian gas’ scenario – including analysis of demand/supply balance for Winter 2022/23, possible measures to diversify supply and reduce gas demand, and associated costs and risks.

 

Watch the recording of our recent public webinar using the link below.

Sign up to receive our latest public insights straight to your inbox

Sign Up