Crucial intelligence to understand the changing dynamics of the Italian power market

Background

The Italian power market faces profound transformation, with coal phase-out scheduled for 2025, the increased share of renewable generation causing the need to review security of supply, and interconnections and internal market zones bringing challenges.

Italy exhibits excellent geological and policy fundamentals for renewable energy generation. Ambitious EU and national economic policies, and new CfD auctions, are expected to give another boost to the expansion of renewables.

Challenge

The Italian economy’s vulnerability, combined with the forecasted growth of renewable capacity, creates serious risks to investments in renewable energy projects that will not be supported by public subsidies. Volatility of renewable energy prices will be reinforced by increasing shares of solar and wind vis-à-vis hydropower.

Furthermore, Italy’s subdivided power market, currently comprised of six different bidding zones, increases the uncertainties that must be accounted for when developing long-term price forecasts.

Expertise

Our Italian Power Market Service enables you to assess the merchant risks bound to renewable energy technologies, and guide investments and operational decisions.

Subscribers receive a well-rounded package to manage and mitigate risks and understand the potential of renewables. Bankable forecasts and analysis are underlined by a high level of interactivity with our team.

What’s included?

Quarterly forecast reports:

  • Wholesale market price forecast along 3 scenarios (Central, High, Low) to 2050
  • Market price volatility (price distributions, peak prices)
  • Capacity and generation mix and interconnector flows
  • All relevant input assumptions (gas prices, coal prices, CO2 price)
  • Renewables capture prices (onshore wind, offshore wind, and solar PV)
  • High and Low scenario, by technology, country and region, with in-depth analysis of regional installation of RES assets, cannibalisation rates, curtailment, and load factors
  • CCGT and coal spreads (dark and clean)
  • All forecast data easily downloadable into Excel

Unparalleled strategic insights:

  • Regular subscriber group meetings in an intimate roundtable format to discuss our industry-defining analysis under the Chatham House Rule
  • The opportunity to network with senior representatives from utilities, investors, banks and Government
  • Strategic insight reports with quantitative deep-dive analysis on highly topical issues to help guide your most important decisions
  • Regular policy update notes with quantifications of the implications to help you understand the impact on your projects

Interaction with our market experts:

  • Bilateral workshops with our experts to discuss our research and forecasts, and understand the impacts on your business
  • Ongoing access to expert analysts to address any questions across European power markets
  • Regular webinars to keep you updated with our latest forecasts, along with key changes in policy and the market
  • Discounted tickets for the unmissable Aurora Spring Forum, attended by senior executives from across Europe

Our subscriptions offer comprehensive market intelligence packages for energy participants. All subscribers get company-wide access to our EOS platform: the energy market’s hub for critical analytics.

Group Meeting

June 2021
Subscriber-only event

Impacts of Hydrogen for the Italian energy system

In light of the publication of the National Strategy for Hydrogen by the Italian Government, our Italian team assess what its implementation could mean for the Italian energy system – and whether the Government targets are achievable in the first place.

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To enquire about our Italian Power Market subscription, please register your details and our team will get back to you shortly.