Crucial intelligence to understand the changing dynamics of the Australian power market

Background

The NEM is changing at an ever-increasing rate. As state governments progress with their respective targets for renewable energy and firming capacity, there is opportunity for market participants to be part of the next wave of investment.

This momentum is likely to continue and stakeholders must stay on top of the latest policy and market updates to take advantage of these new revenue streams.

Challenge

As renewable penetration increases throughout the NEM, market operators face a challenge to keep the system stable and the lights on. It is crucial for stakeholders to understand how this could impact market dynamics.

The increase in renewable capacity on the system is applying pressure to the business cases of baseload generators whose running hours will decrease, and merchant renewable generators who will likely suffer from price cannibalisation.

Expertise

We are at the forefront in modelling and forecasting Australia’s complex energy future. Our Australian Power Market Service subscribers receive a well-rounded package to help manage and mitigate risks, and better understand the NEM and its intricacies.

Bankable forecasts and analysis are underlined by interactivity with our team and the influential client group.

What’s included?

Quarterly forecast reports:

  • Wholesale market price forecast along six scenarios (Central, Low, Government Intervention, Grid Invest, ISP, Two Degrees) in five regions to 2050
  • Market price volatility (price distributions, peak prices)
  • Capacity and generation mix and interconnector flows
  • All relevant input assumptions – demand, supply, commodities, network augmentation, uplift
  • Dispatch-weighted average prices (capture price) for onshore wind and solar PV
  • Quarterly Global Energy Market forecast reports
  • All forecast data easily downloadable into Excel

Unparalleled strategic insights:

  • Regular subscriber group meetings in Sydney and Melbourne, in an intimate roundtable format to discuss our industry-defining analysis under the Chatham House Rule
  • The opportunity to network with senior representatives from utilities, investors, banks and Government
  • Strategic insight reports with quantitative deep-dive analysis on highly topical issues to help guide your most important decisions
  • Regular policy update notes with quantifications of the implications to help you understand the impact on your projects

Interaction with our market experts:

  • Bilateral workshops with our experts to discuss our research and forecasts, and understand the impacts for your business
  • Ongoing access to expert analysts to address any questions across the Australian power market
  • Regular subscriber webinars to keep you updated with our latest forecasts, along with key changes in policy and the market
  • Discounted tickets for the unmissable Aurora Spring Forum, attended by senior executives from across the globe

Our subscriptions offer comprehensive market intelligence packages for energy participants. All subscribers get company-wide access to our EOS platform: the energy market’s hub for critical analytics.

Group Meeting

Thursday 4 March, 2021
Subscriber-only event

Market consensus scenarios and Aurora’s annual outlook

We have surveyed a range of market participants across a number of key input assumptions to explore a “market consensus” scenario. In addition to this, we will analyse the market impact of the NSW Energy Roadmap for market participants.

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How do I subscribe?

To enquire about our Australian Power Market subscription, please register your details and our team will get back to you shortly.